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Annual_Report_1997.gif (2616 bytes)


For further information contact: Douglas Pachico


[Introduction] [Project Description] [Project Workbreakdown Structure] [1997 Highlights]
[Output I: Databases and Methodologies] [Output II: Ex-ante Impact Assessment]
[Output III: Ex-post Impact Assessment] [Output IV: Monitoring Systems] [Staff List] [Publications and Presentations List] [References Cited in Report]

 

Introduction

Impact assessment is potentially useful for all CIAT projects in research planning; obtaining feedback on research outputs; and reporting to donors – investors. In 1997 project BP1 produced outputs for or with practically all other CIAT projects, as shown in the Table below.

Because impact assessment is such a vital issue for all CIAT projects, not only must project BP1 integrate its work fully with other CIAT project, but other CIAT projects must make impact assessment an explicit output of their our own work. Thus, not all impact assessment research is or should be conducted in project BP1.

Although BP1 is the smallest project in CIAT’s portfolio in terms of resources, it recognizes the support of several donor – investors that have contributed to its work: The Inter American Development Bank, IDRC of Canada, Nestle-Colombia, the CG Impact Assessment Evaluation Group, the Rockefeller Foundation, the Swiss Development Cooperation (SDC).

A strategic alliance with IFPRI has been and continues to be of great importance for BP1. Among other major collaborators in BP1 work in 1997 are IICA, CORPOICA-Colombia, University Javeriana, CIRAD-France, EMBRAPA-Brazil, University of Arizona, CORFOCIAL-Colombia, and INIA-Peru.
 

Table. BP1 Linkages with CIAT Projects 1997.

 

Data Bases And Methods

Ex Ante Assessment

Ex Post Assessment

Monitoring System

SB1

 

*

   

SB2

 

*

   

IP1

*

 

*

 

IP2

*

     

IP3

*

*

   

IP4

*

*

   

IP5

*

*

*

 

PE1

     

*

PE2

 

*

 

*

PE3

*

*

 

*

PE4

*

   

*

PE5

     

*

SN1

 

*

*

*

SN2

*

     

SN3

 

*

*

*

Project Description

Project BP1: Assessment of Past and Expected Impact of Agricultural Research

Objective

To generate information that helps guide the allocation of CIAT resources, assists NARS in priority setting, improves the quality and efficiency of the Center's outputs, and indicates the returns to stakeholders' investments.

Outputs

Improved information and analysis for estimating the magnitude and distribution of the benefits of agricultural and natural resource management research. Appraisals of the acceptability, adoption, and impact of selected CIAT outputs. Improved capacity at CIAT and NARS for estimating, monitoring, and measuring the impacts of research.

Gains

Improved allocation of resources can increase the rate of return on investment in agricultural research. Project target is 2%.

Milestones

1997. Review of adoption and impact of CIAT outputs prepared. Project monitoring procedures developed and tested. Benefits of CIAT projects estimated. Two field studies on technology adoption and acceptability conducted.

1998. Two field studies on technology adoption and acceptability conducted. Guidelines written on methods of impact assessment for resource management issues. Development trends in Latin America reviewed.

1999. Project monitoring system linked to estimates of impact assessment. Paper prepared on evaluation on non-marketed research outputs. Two field studies on technology adoption and acceptability conducted.

Users

The information and models developed in this project will help research planners in NARS and the CGIAR with decisions on resource allocation. Stakeholders will be able to measure expected returns to investment in agricultural and resource management research.

Collaborators

Field studies on technology adoption and acceptability: NARS in Latin America, Asia, and Africa. Methodology development and strengthening of NARS: IFPRI, IICA, and the University of Wageningen. Use of outputs: IDB, NARS in Latin America, Asia, and Africa.

CGIAR system linkages

Policy (100%). Participates in the CGIAR Impact Assessment and Evaluation Group and contributes to the Tropical America Ecoregional Program.

CIAT project linkagesWorks with all CIAT projects to appraise benefits and monitor impact.

Project Workbreakdown Structure

 Project objective

To generate information that helps guide the allocation of CIAT resources, assists NARS in  Priority setting, improves the quality and efficiency of the Center's outputs, and  Indicates the returns to stakeholders' investments

Outputs

Databases and methods developed to improve the ex ante assessment of the benefits of agricultural and natural resource  Management research

The expected contribution of CIAT's outputs to economic growth, poverty alleviation,  And sustainability  Estimated

The acceptability, adoption, and impact of CIAT outputs analyzed

Systems for monitoring and evaluation as integral  components of agricultural research developed

ACTIVITIES

Compile and organize basic data sets, including research activities and costs, biophysical conditions, production systems, commodity markets (in collaboration with IFPRI).

Revise existing consumer surplus models for assessing the economic benefits of research (in collaboration with IFPRI). 

Identify and adapt novel techniques for extending the economic analysis to include nonmarket outputs (in collaboration with the University of Wageningen).

Analyze current development trends to assess potential consequences of CIAT's research portfolio (linked to all other CIAT projects). 

Formulate research investment scenarios to estimate magnitudes and patterns of expected benefits from CIAT outputs (linked to all other CIAT projects).

Revise literature on historic adoption and impact of CIAT outputs. 

 Conduct field studies on acceptability and adoption of CIAT outputs (in collaboration with INIAP, CORPOICA, EMBRAPA-CNPMF, and Nestlè Corp.)

Assist CIAT project leaders in the use and implementation of a monitoring and evaluation system (linked to all other CIAT projects). 

Use information from project monitoring and evaluation systems to improve projections of expected impact. 

Contribute to strengthening regional and national systems for research prioritization (in collaboration with IFPRI, IICA, and IDB Regional Fund for Research).

1997 Highlights

Output 1: Data Bases And Methods

1.1 Data Bases (Supported by IDB)

1.1.A General Data
 

  • Data bases on CIAT crops and economic indicators developed
  • Trend highlights data made available on Internet though CIAT web page
  • Regional data bases for Latin America developed
  • Data base for Colombia developed
  • Data base on cassava prices in Asia compiled

1.1.B Georeferenced Data

  • Data base on CIAT crops and agroecologies in Latin America compiled

1.2 Methods

1.2.1 Economic Surplus Models (Supported by IDB)
 

  • Economic model of impact of agricultural research extended to represent different market conditions
  • Economic model of impact of agricultural research extended to capture spillover and spill in effects

1.3 Other Methods

1.3.A Social Capital (Supported by Rockefeller Foundation)

  • Preliminary conceptual model of impact of institutional strengthening projects sketched out

Output 2: Ex Ante Impact Analysis

2.1 Trends Analysis

  • Trends in Latin America Livestock sector analyzed
  • Global trends in cassava analyzed
  • Study of agricultural productivity in Colombia underway
  • 2.2 Estimation of Ex Ante Impact

      2.2.A Forages

    • Expected internal rate of return to forages research has increased from 55% in 1993 to 76% in 1997 despite project downsizing due to enhancement research focus
    • Market conditions (closed vs. open) alter distribution of benefits between consumers and producers, but not total benefits of livestock research
    • Protectionist policies in high income countries significantly reduce returns to livestock research in Latin America

    2.2.B Cassava

    • Preliminary results suggest that expected benefits from cassava germplasm improvement has been scarcely affected by the downsizing in cassava research
    • Spillover effects to Africa of CIAT cassava research are potentially large, compared to direct effects in Latin America and Asia

    Output 3: Ex Post Impact Assessment

    3.1 Literature Review

    • Abstracts of CIAT adoption and impact studies published and posted in Internet on CIAT web page
    • Review of studies of adoption of bean varieties in Africa written by CIAT project IP2

    3.2 Empirical Studies

      3.2.A IPM Beans in Colombia (Supported by IDRC)

    • Survey confirmed adoption by 12%-28% of farmers of different IPM components developed by CIAT-ICA research
    • Development of IPM package for single commodity is of limited effectiveness when farmers grow multiple commodities with similar pests

    3.2.B Acceptability of Arachis forage in Colombia (supported by Nestle-Colombia)

    • Survey of 226 dairy farms conducted. Data pending analysis

    3.2.C Cassava Starch Processing in Colombia

    • Survey of cassava starch plants finds 3% - 33% adoption of different improved practices developed by CIAT-CIRAD
    • Market access important influence on adoption of improved practices
    • Improved processing technologies produced $US 25,300,000 in benefits 1988-96 with internal rate of return to investment of 80%.

    3.2.D Cassava Drying Plants in Brazil (Supported by IAEG)

    • Field work for case study of cassava drying plants initiated in November 1997

    3.2.E Farmer Research Committees in Colombia

    • Study of impact of participatory farmer research committees is currently in design phase

    3.2.F Bean varieties, Peru (Supported by SDC)

    • Survey of 325 farmers finds 94% using improved varieties on 52% of total bean area
    • New bean varieties increase yields 440 kg/ha
    • Diversity of varieties cultivated by farmers enhanced by introduction of new varieties

    Output 4. Impact Monitoring System

    4.1 Impact Monitoring System for CIAT Projects

  • Two presentations made on impact assessment issues to CIAT Project Managers
  • Best practices in Project monitoring benchmarked with IDRC 
  • 4.2 Strengthening NARS

  • Workshops on economic surplus models for ex-ante assessment conducted for PROCISUR, PROCIANDINO, and CARDI

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