For further information contact: Douglas Pachico

[Project Description] [Logframe] [1999 Highlights]
[Output I: Future Impact of Research Estimated] [Output II: Impact of Past Research Monitored]
[Output III: Tools to Assess Impact of Research] [Output IV: Institutional Capacity Assessment Enhanced] [Donors] [Partners] [Staff List] [Publications and Presentations List] [References cited in Report]

Project Description

Project BP-1: Impact Assessment

Objective: Generate and disseminate information and tools to improve the capacity of CIAT and partner organizations to allocate research resources efficiently.

Outputs:

1. Expected impact of future research estimated.
2. Impact of past research monitored.
3. Tools developed to assess the impact of research, ex ante and ex post.
4. Institutional capacity for estimating, monitoring and evaluating research impacts improved.

Gains: Improved allocation of resources can increase the rate of return on investment in agricultural research. Project target is 2%.

Milestones:

2000

• Impact monitoring system developed and implemented in one agroecological site.
• Adoption and acceptability of bean technology in Bolivia measured.
• Performance of participatory methods in Cauca, Colombia appraised.
• Aggregate productivity impact of CIAT germplasm estimated.
• Expected benefits of eight potential CIAT projects estimated.

2001

• Impact monitoring system developed and implemented for all agroecological sites and CIAT projects.
• Expected benefits of eight CIAT projects estimated.
• Two field studies on technology adoption and acceptability initiated.
• Method for measuring impact of social capital developed and field-tested.

2002

• Two studies on technology adoption completed.
• Impact of investments in social capital on natural resource management estimated.
• Two field studies on technology adoption initiated.
• Impact of CIAT research on poverty reduction estimated.

Users: The information and models developed in this project will help research planners in NARS and the CGIAR with decisions on resource allocation. Stakeholders will be able to measure expected returns to investment in agricultural and resource management research.

1999 Collaborators: Future Impact of Research. Ministry of Agriculture, Colombia; Health Ministry, Nicaragua; CIAT projects-Forages, Rice, Cassava, Beans, Hillsides, Soils; Impact of Past Research Monitored: Impact Assessment and Evaluation Group of CGIAR; Yale University; CORPOICA, Colombia; University of California, Berkeley; CNPMF, EMBRAPA, Brazil; Secretary of Rural Development, Ceara, Brazil; ARI, Tanzania; CIAT Projects-Beans, Beans in Africa, Cassava, Rice, Forages, IPM, Hillsides, Land Use, Agroenterprises; Tools to Assess Impact: IFPRI; Institutional Capacity: COLCIENCIAS, Colombia; All CIAT projects.

CGIAR system linkages: Improving Policies (100%).

CIAT project linkages: Works with all CIAT projects.

Logframe Project BP1

CIAT

Area: Strategic Planning

Project: BP-1 – Impact Assessment

Manager: Douglas Pachico

1999 HIGHLIGHTS

OUTPUT 1: EXPECTED IMPACT OF FUTURE RESEARCH ESTIMATED.

Output 1.1. Trends affecting impacts of research analyzed.

Result 1.1.A. Relation between agricultural research and poverty analyzed.

• Employment creation major priority for poverty reduction through agricultural research. Prospects greatest in high value crops, weak in field crops.
• In open economies major impact through productivity increase and attenuated effect of reduced food prices.
• Poverty reduction not central element to improved resource management.

Result 1.1.B. Trends in livestock products in Asia and Africa analyzed.

• Consumption of meat and milk in Asia and Africa significantly greater than production.
• Strong prospects of demand for new technology for intensified livestock production systems in Asia.
• Some potential for low cost livestock producers to export to Asia.

Output 1.2. Impact of future research outputs estimated.

Result 1.2.A. Water Resources in Nicaragua.

• Women would be particularly benefited from improved drinking water resources.

Result 1.2.B. Future Impact of Soils Research.

• Databases and model under development for this research, but no results yet.

Result 1.2.C. Future Impact of Research for Savannas of Colombia.

• Highest returns to research estimated for beef, plantain, milk, rice and fruits, lowest for beans, sorghum, soybeans and maize.

Result 1.2.D. Future Impact of Research Producing Informational Outputs.

• Models being developed, but no results to report yet.

OUTPUT 2: IMPACT OF PAST CIAT RESEARCH MONITORED.

Output 2.1. Information on use of CIAT technology synthesized.

Result 2.1.A. Use of CIAT germplasm documented.

• Over 80% of rice are planted to varieties with CIAT content in Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica and Ecuador.
• Over 50% of rice area planted to varieties with CIAT content in Argentina, Bolivia, Panama, and Venezuela.
• Over 80% of bean area planted to varieties with CIAT content in Bolivia and Costa Rica.
• Over 35% of bean area planted to varieties with CIAT content in Argentina, Guatemala, Honduras, and Panama.
• In Africa, over 10% of bean area planted to varieties with CIAT content in Congo, Rwanda and Uganda.
• Over 50% of cassava area planted to varieties with CIAT content in Dominican Republic, Haiti, Mexico and Thailand.

Result 2.1.B. Benefits from improved rice germplasm in Latin America estimated.

• Larger share of benefits from improved rice germplasm in Latin America has gone to consumers.
• Increased productivity of irrigated rice has relieved pressure on need to utilize fragile non-irrigated lands for rice production.

Output 2.2. Empirical studies monitor impact of CIAT research.

Result 2.2.A. Cassava processing in Colombia.

• Establishment of cassava processing plants most successful in communities with higher production surplus potential and higher social capital.
• Adoption of improved cassava varieties higher in areas closer to cassava processing plants.
• Poverty reduced in areas where improved cassava production technology adopted.

Result 2.2.B. Cassava Processing in Brazil.

• 95% of increase in cassava production in Ceara state, Brazil, due to new cassava processing plants.
• 70% of benefits from cassava processing plants obtained by cassava growers.
• Women more likely than men to report benefit from cassava processing plants.

Result 2.2.C. New Bean Varieties in Bolivia.

• Introduction of beans as winter crop in San Julian and Colonia Berlin now accounts for over 40% of farmer income.
• New bean varieties earn $9 million in foreign exchange and have created the equivalent of more than 2000 full time jobs.

Result 2.2.D. Adoption of Forages in Brazil.

• Study is being planned with EMBRAPA.

Result 2.2.E. Adoption of Bean Varieties in Tanzania.

• Nearly 40% of farmers who have received improved bean seed continue to grow it.
• Further analysis of reasons for growing or not growing improved beans is planned.

Result 2.2.F. Adoption of bean varieties in Honduras.

• Inclusion of crop losses avoided increased estimated impact by over 80%.
• Areas targeted by BMGV resistant varieties coincide with some of poorest regions in Honduras.

OUTPUT 3: TOOLS TO ASSESS IMPACT OF RESEARCH.

Output 3.1. Data Bases Developed.

• Latin American and Caribbean socio-economic data bases updated.
• Colombia agricultural data base expanded.

Output 3.2. Web Page Developed.

• Data bases put on line with graphical interface.
• Impact assessment web page data base hit by over 1000 users in 1999.

Output 3.3. Methods for Economic Surplus Analysis Improved and Distributed.

• Economic surplus model (MODEX) made available on line and downloaded by 70 users.
• Model enhanced to allow for variable changes in demand.
• English language version of MODEX manual published.

Output 3.4. Methods for Assessing the Impact of Natural Resource Management Research Developed.

• Crop simulation models being linked to market models in order to be able to estimate economic consequences of changes in soil quality under different management systems.

(Collaboration with IFPRI)

OUTPUT 4. INSTITUTIONAL CAPACITY FOR IMPACT ASSESSMENT ENHANCED.

• Assisted process of developing impact assessment indicators and data collection system for CIAT Ecoregional reference sites.
• Conducted workshop for COLCIENCIAS (Colombian National Science Research Council) on methods of assessing research impact.
• Managed process of introducing log frame planning system into CIAT projects in order to have better performance monitoring indictors.
• Supervised thesis of three students in Bolivia and research of student from University of California, Berkeley.